SJMcCormick
Opportunity comes to the prepared mind
Investing

A collection of frameworks that shape how I approach investing. Fundamentals and first principles - less about what to buy and more about how to think.

Foundations

The rules of the game - risk, time, incentives, compounding

The Game You're Actually Playing

Why knowing something is not the same as being paid for it

Thinking in Probabilities

A look at process vs outcome

Risk and Permanent Loss

Defining risk in investing

Mental Models for Uncertain Markets

Probabilities, decision-making, and staying rational under pressure

Capital Cycle Thinking

Check the supply side

A Loser’s Game

Unforced errors

The Art of Contrary Thinking

It's warmer in the herd

Valuation Tools & Models

Tools for translating narratives into numbers

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

The gold standard of valuation.

Relative Valuation

Comparison and context

Reverse DCF

What's already priced in?

EV/EBITDA and Friends

Operating performance & market expectations

Economics & Macro

Rates, cycles and liquidity

UK Investing

Vehicles, taxes, and practical considerations for investing in the UK

Field Notes

Experiential learning

Lessons from Buffett’s Letters [Megathread]

Notes and reflections from the partnership years through Berkshire Hathaway (1957 - 2025)

Moving Averages and the Stories We Tell Ourselves

My love-hate relationship with technical analysis

© 2026 SJMcCormick. All rights reserved.